Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.005228 0.005759 0.006333 0.007002 0.007764 0.008608 0.009616
2025-10-12 0.004422 0.005166 0.006034 0.007132 0.008495 0.010151 0.012343
2025-10-19 0.003873 0.004698 0.005708 0.007054 0.008831 0.011135 0.014420
2025-10-26 0.003491 0.004359 0.005464 0.007001 0.009131 0.012049 0.016485
2025-11-02 0.003173 0.004056 0.005216 0.006888 0.009303 0.012774 0.018355
2025-11-09 0.002963 0.003869 0.005093 0.006918 0.009657 0.013777 0.020781
2025-11-16 0.002754 0.003661 0.004917 0.006842 0.009833 0.014516 0.022887
2025-11-23 0.002549 0.003442 0.004703 0.006683 0.009851 0.014993 0.024610
2025-11-30 0.002435 0.003340 0.004647 0.006753 0.010232 0.016101 0.027649
2025-12-07 0.002373 0.003309 0.004690 0.006978 0.010886 0.017759 0.032049
2025-12-14 0.002237 0.003157 0.004537 0.006869 0.010954 0.018372 0.034472
2025-12-21 0.002107 0.003005 0.004372 0.006724 0.010941 0.018825 0.036638
2025-12-28 0.002009 0.002902 0.004285 0.006714 0.011192 0.019865 0.040459
2026-01-04 0.001945 0.002848 0.004272 0.006835 0.011705 0.021524 0.046213
2026-01-11 0.001849 0.002736 0.004157 0.006762 0.011835 0.022401 0.050263
2026-01-18 0.001766 0.002640 0.004060 0.006711 0.012000 0.023378 0.054863
2026-01-25 0.001680 0.002534 0.003939 0.006604 0.012037 0.024070 0.058872
2026-02-01 0.001624 0.002474 0.003892 0.006632 0.012356 0.025473 0.065446
2026-02-08 0.001556 0.002390 0.003798 0.006561 0.012454 0.026355 0.070700
2026-02-15 0.001480 0.002289 0.003669 0.006410 0.012358 0.026739 0.074448
2026-02-22 0.001442 0.002251 0.003650 0.006476 0.012759 0.028478 0.083611
2026-03-01 0.001427 0.002252 0.003701 0.006689 0.013526 0.031352 0.098362
2026-03-08 0.001370 0.002176 0.003604 0.006586 0.013528 0.032094 0.104976